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The AfBC Africa Business Confidence Index (BCI) measures the sentiment, outlook, and optimism of African businesses across sectors and regions. BCI provides a clear view of economic conditions, market trends, and investment opportunities, serving as a benchmark for policymakers, investors, and business leaders.
Monitor perceptions of business conditions, economic performance, and market opportunities across Africa.
Provide evidence-based insights to guide policymakers, investors, and business leaders in strategic decision-making.
Assess the private sector’s confidence in navigating challenges such as regulatory changes, market volatility, and global economic shifts.
Offer comparative insights across industries, countries, and regions to highlight strengths, risks, and areas for improvement.
Promote understanding of the business climate and investment outlook, fostering informed partnerships and capital allocation.
Assessing growth prospects, inflation, access to finance, and macroeconomic stability.
Evaluating capital availability, ease of doing business, regulatory frameworks, and foreign investment potential.
Tracking demand trends, competition, pricing, and sector-specific growth opportunities.
Understanding business leaders’ expectations for revenue growth, employment, and expansion plans.
Measuring adoption of technology, digital transformation, and innovative practices to drive efficiency and market differentiation.
Policy instability, bureaucratic inefficiencies, and shifting regulations.
Currency fluctuations, inflationary pressures, and fluctuating commodity prices.
Limitations in funding, high borrowing costs, or gaps in investor confidence.
Supply chain disruptions, competition, and challenges in scaling operations.
Trade disruptions, geopolitical tensions, and global economic downturns affecting Africa’s markets.

The AfBC Africa Business Confidence Index (BCI) 2026 reflects a year of "Confident Resilience." While the continent faces significant external headwinds, domestic structural reforms and the rapid adoption of transformative technologies have kept sentiment in positive territory. The 2026 BCI highlights a shift from survival-oriented strategies to long-term value creation, driven by digital integration and regional trade.

As of January 2026, the African regulatory landscape has transitioned from "Policy Formulation" to "Aggressive Enforcement." The AfCFTA, now in its fifth year of operational trading, is the primary driver of legislative alignment, but regional disparities in infrastructure and digital maturity are creating a fragmented risk environment.
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Grosvenor House,
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